steverobertson

Help me.I do not get it..I have read and believe the odds of 18 in a row of any of the 'almost even money bets' are something like 654 000 to 1...yet..why can't we then, enter the 'game' when 12 of one of these has continually come up..and activate a betting system against it happening?? I know the wheel has no memory.. but it does have a history, it has a present and it has a future..and with on-line wheels spinning 200 spins per minute, it's easy to find situations of 12 in a row occuring then activating bets against it getting to 18 in a row..make sense? answer me and I appreciate all help 'cause I do not get it??? Roulette 666 is the devil to my mind at the moment

If the last spin was red, the chances of the next spin being red are still 48.6% - they do not drop to 23.7%. On the other hand, if you hadn't spun the wheel to see the first red result and wanted to know the probability of seeing red over the next 2 spins (and not just on the next 1 spin), the probability would be 23.7%. Further reading.

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MrPapagiorgio

The highest roulette odds (36 to 1) are for a single number bet and the lowest (1 to 1) are for outside bets like Odd/Even or Red/Black. Secondly, if you want to know what is the best bet for winning in online roulette, keep in mind that the European roulette odds to win are slightly better than those at the American table.
You make a valid point. The house edge in 6 to 5 blackjack is 1.44% under the usual rules, while double zero roulette is 5.26%. That is 3.7 times as bad. However I have learned through the years that it is almost hopeless getting players to leave a game they like, regardless of how bad the house edge is. The odds of 21 reds in a row.
Enjoy Blackjack or Baccarat in odds of 7 reds in a row roulette our High Limit room equipped with a full-service bar. But players all over the world play Texas holdem on the Internet. Odds of 7 reds in a row roulette. Looks like an actual English-language editor checked for spelling, syntax, etc.

Without doing math to comment on the accuracy or inaccuracy of the '654,000 to 1' that you have posted for 18 reds in a row, the reason why waiting for 12 reds does not improve your odds is that it is the the point from which you are betting that the odds are '654,000 to 1' that you will hit ANOTHER 18 reds in a row. The odds of hitting red on ANY spin never changes (about 47% each spin for single 0), regardless of what has already happened. In fact, it is not only that odds of hitting 18 reds in a row '654,000 to 1' (or whatever the math turns out to be), but the fact is that the odds of hitting ANY specific combination of reds and blacks is the same ('654,000 to 1). This means the odds of hitting:
RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR in a sequence
is the same as hitting:
RBRBRBRBRBRBRBRBRB
Which also has the same chances as:
RRBRRBRRBRRBRRBRRB
etc..

So I says to him, I said 'Get your own monkey!'

steverobertson

well based on that logic..I say to you, i wait for 12 whatever's in a row, enter the game and then call the odds of another 18 whatevers being 654000 to 1..that can't be, because that is then 30 whatevers in a row...I dont buy it yet...someone , convince me..

JB
Administrator

You aren't taking into account the knowledge of events that have already occurred. Past events are certain Odds

, while future events are uncertain.
The probability of red on a spin that hasn't happened yet is 18/37.

Odds Of 7 Reds In A Row Roulette Rules

The probability of 18 reds in a row on 18 spins that haven't occurred yet is (18/37)^18 = 1 in 429,265.
However, if the last 18 spins were all red, then the probability of them all being red is 100%. Why? Because that's what happened. There is no more uncertainty over the outcome of those spins.

steverobertson

That makes sense..but now I say to you, regardless of what has happened..when the follow up 6 spins do occure and all of a sudden their exists a history of 18 spins in a row delivering the same result for a close to 50/50 spin..you can then have the LIBERTY of looking at that piece of history and saying.'look..that was a 1 in half a million chance of happening!!!'...and still I hear ..but you can't intercept and bet against that one in half million chance???? thoughts please..

odiousgambit

Piling on here: don't feel bad, that this doesn't make sense to you shows you are human. You're letting your intuition fight the facts. Human intuition cannot be relied upon, there is much of Science that is 'counter-intuitive' and this is a strong case of that. Evidently vast horde of gamblers never believe it till they get burned. Do not join their numbers!
Someone 'taught' me the Martingale system once a long time ago. He was showing me his gambling system, about which I remember little, but the Martingale was part of it. I remember being skeptical until he got to the Martingale part of it, and a light came on. This fit with my prejudice of the time, that someone who you were betting against and who kept wanting to go 'double or nothing' was luring you into a sucker bet. I bought into the idea even though I knew 'the dice (or wheel) has no memory'. This shows how intuition can fail you in the face of knowledge.
Odds Of 7 Reds In A Row Roulette

Experimentation convinced me eventually that it was much more likely for an event of, say, 18 losses on red in a row to occur than, again, intuition suggests. Likewise, the bankroll required was daunting even if you wanted to take your chances. Recently the Wizard's sites have been there to really shoot this down for me. I am happy to say I never lost any money trying this foolishness. Join the wise crowd and be able to say the same thing.

the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, rai